Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.060516 3.380571 3.726554 4.129459 4.587128 5.092426 5.694695
2025-07-20 2.638790 3.076469 3.582245 4.214158 4.988425 5.913803 7.114942
2025-07-27 2.377304 2.882879 3.496558 4.305067 5.355365 6.691988 8.551765
2025-08-03 2.175992 2.722203 3.411738 4.360195 5.653378 7.388724 9.952845
2025-08-10 2.008619 2.578789 3.322642 4.384032 5.892999 8.014578 11.323194
2025-08-17 1.819269 2.384581 3.141867 4.255171 5.893497 8.288671 12.199813
2025-08-24 1.683051 2.248135 3.023711 4.195897 5.977587 8.680807 13.295508
2025-08-31 1.577321 2.143938 2.939299 4.172908 6.106196 9.145483 14.563006
2025-09-07 1.525386 2.110825 2.951914 4.292149 6.461378 10.003409 16.620177
2025-09-14 1.442698 2.026077 2.880464 4.272921 6.588808 10.494732 18.094016
2025-09-21 1.363365 1.940386 2.800335 4.231062 6.671106 10.912664 19.488668
2025-09-28 1.254741 1.803537 2.632097 4.032044 6.465226 10.793212 19.807148
2025-10-05 1.203692 1.753361 2.597917 4.055167 6.654541 11.427570 21.789850
2025-10-12 1.167790 1.724415 2.595203 4.130736 6.945033 12.289323 24.420254
2025-10-19 1.137041 1.701353 2.599781 4.218201 7.265114 13.249160 27.461901
2025-10-26 1.102074 1.669071 2.586403 4.271756 7.525066 14.120348 30.479220
2025-11-02 1.064230 1.629649 2.558019 4.294966 7.726886 14.894964 33.426451
2025-11-09 1.003407 1.548742 2.453697 4.169292 7.617094 14.978151 34.604926
2025-11-16 0.958560 1.492293 2.388276 4.111479 7.639807 15.358113 36.661116
2025-11-23 0.922591 1.449023 2.343313 4.089056 7.733678 15.912482 39.331516
2025-11-30 0.910392 1.445770 2.368949 4.205355 8.135425 17.249410 44.629951
2025-12-07 0.878755 1.407042 2.328190 4.186603 8.238842 17.874491 47.917870
2025-12-14 0.845946 1.364674 2.278379 4.145777 8.288416 18.371049 50.926811